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Da'Sean Butler and West Virginia earned that final No. 1 seed.
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Are you in, or are you out?
Virginia Tech, Illinois, Utah State, UTEP, and Florida are all wondering what their NCAA tournament fate holds. Minnesota and Mississippi State face similar nerve-racking afternoons without wins in the SEC and Big Ten conference championship games on Sunday.
Those seven schools figure to be the toughest decisions when the NCAA tournament selection committee turns in its official men's bracket today just before 6 p.m. ET.
But today's your lucky day. Dave Ommen has answers – or at least one final projection.
The Illini and Hokies are out. Utah State, UTEP and Florida are in. Minnesota's in, even if it loses to Ohio State. Mississippi State faces must-win game against Kentucky. If the Bulldogs lose, they're out.
As for the No. 1 seeds, West Virginia's 60-58 win against Georgetown in the Big East championship will make the Mountaineers the final No. 1 seed, along with Kansas, Kentucky and Syracuse. They have two more victories (18 total) than Duke against teams in the Top 100 of the RPI, and have been more consistent than Ohio State.
But you'll find all that and more in Dave's projections below. As always, check out Dave's site, BRACKETVille, for more, including all the key wins and losses for each team and which teams are on the bubble.
Note: Teams in CAPS are projected as the automatic bid unless the team generally goes by an abbreviation (VCU, BYU, etc). Records against D-I teams only.
| EAST – Syracuse | SOUTH – Houston | |
| Milwaukee | Buffalo | |
| 1) KENTUCKY (32-2) | 1) Syracuse (28-4) | |
| 16) E. TENNESSEE ST. (19-14) | 16) Lehigh vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff | |
| 8) Florida State (22-9) | 8) NORTHERN IOWA (28-4) | |
| 9) Louisville (20-12) | 9) Missouri (22-10) | |
| Spokane | Spokane | |
| 5) Texas A&M (22-9) | 5) Maryland (22-8) | |
| 12) SIENA (27-6) | 12) Florida (21-12) | |
| 4) Purdue (27-5) | 4) Wisconsin (23-8) | |
| 13) WOFFORD (25-8) | 13) NEW MEXICO STATE (21-11) | |
| New Orleans | New Orleans | |
| 6) BYU (28-5) | 6) Xavier (24-8) | |
| 11) OLD DOMINION (26-8) | 11) Minnesota (21-12) | |
| 3) Baylor (24-7) | 3) Pittsburgh (24-8) | |
| 14) SAM HOUSTON (21-7) | 14) HOUSTON (18-15) | |
| Providence | Oklahoma City | |
| 7) Gonzaga (25-6) | 7) UNLV (24-8) | |
| 10) California (23-10) | 10) Wake Forest (19-10) | |
| 2) Georgetown (23-10) | 2) Kansas State (25-7) | |
| 15) VERMONT (25-9) | 15) NORTH TEXAS (22-8) | |
| MIDWEST - St. Louis | WEST – Salt Lake City | |
| Oklahoma City | Buffalo | |
| 1) KANSAS (32-2) | 1) WEST VIRGINIA (27-6) | |
| 16) ROBERT MORRIS (23-11) | 16) WINTHROP (17-13) | |
| 8) Marquette (22-11) | 8) Texas (24-9) | |
| 9) Clemson (21-10) | 9) Georgia Tech (21-12) | |
| Jacksonville | San Jose | |
| 5) Vanderbilt (23-8) | 5) Tennessee (25-8) | |
| 12) CORNELL (25-4) | 12) Utah State (26-7) | |
| 4) TEMPLE (29-5) | 4) Michigan State (24-8) | |
| 13) MURRAY STATE (28-4) | 13) OAKLAND (24-8) | |
| Providence | San Jose | |
| 6) BUTLER (28-4) | 6) Richmond (26-8) | |
| 11) UTEP (26-6) | 11) WASHINGTON (24-9) | |
| 3) Villanova (28-5) | 3) New Mexico (29-4) | |
| 14) OHIO (21-14) | 14) MONTANA (20-9) | |
| Milwaukee | Jacksonville | |
| 7) Oklahoma State (22-10) | 7) Notre Dame (23-11) | |
| 10) SAN DIEGO STATE (23-8) | 10) ST. MARY’S (25-5) | |
| 2) Ohio State (26-7) | 2) DUKE (29-5) | |
| 15) UC-SANTA BARBARA (19-9) | 15) MORGAN STATE (27-9) |
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kansas remains the No. 1 overall seed – followed by Kentucky, Syracuse and West Virginia. Syracuse hosts the play-in game because it's a Friday-Sunday site (Buffalo). It would be Midwest vs. West | East vs. South.
Last Five teams in (at large): Wake Forest, Utah State, UTEP, Minnesota, Florida
First Five teams out (at large): Illinois, Virginia Tech, Mississippi State, Rhode Island, Seton Hall
Moving in (at-large): Utah State, UTEP | Moving out: Illinois, Virginia Tech
Bracket adjustments: One-line adjustments to a team's "true seed" this update … Gonzaga (up), Marquette (down), Minnesota (up), Utah State (down)
Regional placement: Syracuse cannot be placed in the East (host). BYU has to be placed in the West or East because they must play in Thursday-Saturday locations. San Jose is a Thursday-Saturday First-Round site, too.
Here is the team breakdown by Conference …
Big East (8): Syracuse, WEST VIRGINIA, Villanova, Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame
Big 12 (7): KANSAS, Texas, Kansas State, Texas A&M, Baylor, Missouri, Oklahoma State
ACC (6): Duke, Florida State, Wake Forest, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Maryland
Big Ten (5): Michigan State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Minnesota
SEC (4): Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Florida
Mountain West (4): New Mexico, UNLV, BYU, SAN DIEGO STATE
Atlantic 10 (3): Temple, Xavier, Richmond
Pac 10 (2): California, WASHINGTON
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, ST. MARY'S
WAC: NEW MEXICO STATE, Utah State
Conference USA (1): UTEP, HOUSTON
Colonial (1): OLD DOMINION
Missouri Valley (1): NORTHERN IOWA
Horizon (1): BUTLER
Auto Bid conference champions … SIENA (MAAC), NORTH TEXAS (Sun Belt), NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC), OHIO (Mid American), UC-SANTA BARBARA (Big West), WOFFORD (Southern), OAKLAND (Summit), MURRAY STATE (Ohio Valley), LEHIGH (Patriot), VERMONT (America East), CORNELL (Ivy), MONTANA (Big Sky), SAM HOUSTON (Southland), EAST TENNESSEE ST (Atlantic Sun), WINTHROP (Big South), ROBERT MORRIS (Northeast), MORGAN STATE (MEAC), ARK-PINE BLUFF (SWAC).
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